Archive for the ‘Stock Market’ Category

Housing, Bond Rates Attack the Stock Market

Thursday, January 25th, 2007

The National Association of Realtors announced a sharp drop in existing home sales in December 2006. According to the report, existing home sales fell by over eight percent in 2006. Also, a number of homebuilders released sobering forecasts for 2007.

Heavy selling in the bond market led to the highest yields in five months. The 10-year Treasury finished the day at 98 3/32, with its yield at a lofty 4.867%.

Turbulence in the housing and bond markets seeped into the broader market, sending the Dow down 1%, while the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq slipped by 1.1% and 1.3%, respectively.

The day’s winners were eBay and Nokia, up 8.2% and 4.5%, respectively. eBay posted sales growth of 29% while Nokia announced a 19% increase in profits.

Are OTC Stocks Regulated By the SEC?

Thursday, January 25th, 2007

In a word, no.

The OTCBB is an unregulated system by which broker/dealers and market makers can quote current prices for securities (ticker suffix .ob) which are not listed on one of the major exchanges.

The National Association of Securities Dealers oversees the OTCBB, but it is not a part of the Nasdaq exchange, as penny stock scams sometimes imply.

The OTCBB does require its listed companies to file updated financial reports with the SEC. Many people confuse this with SEC regulation: they figure that since they have to file with the SEC, then they must be regulated. But simply filing something with the SEC does not mean the SEC will do anything with it. Rather, it is the OTCBB itself that requires this of its companies. Any OTCBB traded company that fails to comply with this will be de-listed from the service, and will then likely trade on another exchange, such as the pink sheets.
Companies listed on the pink sheets (ticker suffix .pk) are not required to file current reports, so finding reliable information on them is very difficult.

While it is true that some of the best performing stocks are OTC and pink sheets, they are very risky, since it is so difficult to adequately research their financial health.

YHOO up 7%: Will Yahoo Hold its Gains?

Wednesday, January 24th, 2007

Shares of Yahoo stock jumped 7.57% on Wednesday to close at $29.00 on news that Panama, its new advertising filter, will be rolling out February 5.search.jpg

The news is good for Y!, in that it will increase the number of ad-clicks per search (therefore increasing revenue), but it seems a bit early to be declaring victory for Yahoo.

Google, by all accounts is the market leader in search, reportedly claiming nearly 50% of all online searches (source: Comscore). While an increase in Yahoo’s bottom line would help, it’s not likely to change the dynamics of search for the next year. Indeed, it will likely take six to nine months for advertisers to get used to and adequately optimize their advertisements for the new system.
Over that time, the search wars are likely to heat up, as Microsoft increases its efforts and Wikipedia founders launch and develop Wikiseek.

Indeed, Panama will be good news for Yahoo shareholders. But 7% in one day is a bit much for number two. While it may rise again tomorrow due to momentum trading, I would expect it to lower before the end of the week, giving back about half of today’s gains.

Markets, Oil Move Green at Close

Tuesday, January 23rd, 2007

Better-than-expected results from Texas Instruments helped boot techs for an end of day rally Tuesday, with investors showing signs of easing tensions regarding the sector’s recent performance.

United Technologies performed well, as did Boeing and Caterpillar, which both sold off yesterday, showing a strong support for Blue Chips.

Tech Concerns Spread Across Markets

Tuesday, January 23rd, 2007

A 3.4% drop for Boeing (BA) after a Wachovia downgrade spearheaded the Dow’s 0.70% drop to 12,477 on Monday.

Concerns over forthcoming earnings reports deflated tech stocks, which appear to be experiencing a natural pullback after outperforming all other sectors month-to-date. There are concerns, however, regarding chip maker AMD and software giant Microsoft, both of which are expected to report sub-par results. In AMD’s case, increased quality has led to increased competition from rival Intel. For Miscrosoft, the problems are internal, as the company has failed to deliver its forthcoming Vista operating system on numerous occasions.

Apple, which lost almost 2% on the day, has been slumping since hitting a 52-week high of 97.80 on January 10, the day after it reinvented the phone. Since that time the stock has lost over 11.25%, and closed at 86.79.

Tech Stocks to Watch This Week

Monday, January 22nd, 2007

Three giants in tech will report earning this week, and here’s the rundown:

  • Ebay (EBAY): Wednesday, Ebay will announce its earnings, which are expected to be up 40% from last year, with a 25% increase in sales.
  • Microsoft (MSFT): Thursday, Microsoft is expected to disappoint investors with decreased profits, much the same way it has disappointed its users with the delayed release of its next-generation Windows product, Vista. The two are not unrelated, as Microsoft has deferred 1.5 billion in revenue for prepurchased OEM versions of the software until next quarterk, possibly creating a buying opportunity if Thursday’s results are poorer than anticipated.
  • AMD (AMD): AMD will announce fourth quarter results Tuesday, revealing exactly how costly the chip wars have been to the Intel (INTC) rival. Intel reported last week that its sales have stabilized and increased steadily after a tumultuous few years of stiff competition from AMD. Further, according to Marketwatch, Intel and Sun Microsystems (SUNW) have reportedly reached an agreement, which would be a hit to AMD, Sun’s sole chip supplier.

Aloca Anounces Stock Buyback, Dividend Hike

Friday, January 19th, 2007

In an otherwise lackluster day, Alcoa (AA) announced plans to buyback 10% of its outstanding stock and raise its dividend by 13%, lifting shares to 31.40, up 3.6%.

IBM fell three percent after forecasting 10% earnings growth in 2007, which is lower than investors had anticipated.

For the week, the Dow and the S&P 500 closed nearly flat, while the Nasdaq dropped 2.1%, after disappointments from Intel (INTC) and Apple (AAPL), which closed at 88.50, down 9.4% from last week’s high of 97.80

Stocks Feel Oil Pressure

Thursday, January 18th, 2007

Stocks ended the day down on anticipation of stable rates from the Fed and oil under $51 a barrel.

Apple (AAPL) fell more than 6%, closing at $89.07, fully 10%
lower than its high a week ago after announcing the iPhone.

Hewlett-Packard (HPQ), IBM, and Intel (INTC) also fell today, despite increased earnings from IBM, an overall decrease in hardware sales weighed down the tech sector.

Market Recap: Stocks Back Off Record Highs

Wednesday, January 17th, 2007

The Dow, Nasdaq and S&P 500 all retreated a bit from their earlier highs, largely due to an increase in the Producer Price Index and concerns that the Fed, which is supposedly going to ease interest rates, will raise or maintain current rates.

Exxon Mobil (XOM) regained most of its earlier loses for the week, up 1.2%, and a 68% jump in fourth quarter profits helped JP Morga (JPM) gain 0.1%.

Intel (INTC) dropped 5.6% after it announced that fourth quarter profits were down 39%, which led the way for other tech stock declines, IBM, Hewlett-Packard (HPQ), and Apple (AAPL), which released its outstanding earnings after the bell.

FED Basics: What Does Slowing the Economy Mean?

Wednesday, January 17th, 2007

Every day you hear it, whether Ben Bernanke had the sniffles or whether one of the Fed governors made a statement about the economy: every investor is afraid that the Fed will act to “slow the economy.”

What exactly do journalists mean by this?

The Federal Reserve is charged with keeping inflation steady, and in order to do so they have control over two major interest rates: the Discount Rate and the Fed Funds Rate. Both are interest rates charged to banks for overnight loans.

The discount rate is the interest rate charged to banks toat loan funds directly from the Federal Reserve.

The Fed Funds Rate is the interest rate charged to banks that borrow from other banks at the Fed.

The Fed Funds Rate is the more important figure, since most banks would prefer to borrow from other banks than directly from the Fed.

While neither of these interest rates directly affect investors, they do affect banks and lending rates across the spectrum. If banks have higher interest for short-term lending, then that will trickle down to their customers having higher rates for lending as well.

The bottom line is, when these interest rates are low, then it is easier to borrow money. If the Fed acts to raise these rates, it is said to be “slowing the economy,” since it gets more expensive (harder) to borrow money as interest rates climb.

This higher interest rate leads to less borrowing and, hence, less spending and a general decrease in business transactions.

So, when some journalist frets about the Fed possibly “slowing the economy” or “Tightening the money supply” (another favorite), what they are really talking about is rising interest rates.